L’École des cotes

Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 15:13 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prévision 80.08%1.25cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -6.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.70%80.09%80.18%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.181.2387.72%84.60%84.75%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.92%5.02cote équitable
EV +14.56%
Avantage +2.53%
Kelly +3.07%
Croissance +0.447%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.67%19.91%19.82%22.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.804.785.7523.53%20.84%20.94%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +14.56%E +2.53%K +3.07%G +0.447%4.3%2026-07-12 15:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204%5.9%2026-07-12 15:09
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204%5.9%2026-07-12 15:09
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131%4.7%2026-07-12 14:59
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +6.39%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.094%3.5%2026-07-12 15:04
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073%2.9%2026-07-12 15:08
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050%4.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.81%EV +3.21%E +0.619%K +0.767%G +0.025%2.6%2026-07-12 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 15:04
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 14:45
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:09
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:44
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 15:05
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:45
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:08
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:08
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 15:04
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:10
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:59
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:45
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:44
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
Dabble (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:04
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:05
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 14:58
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 14:59
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:59
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -1.51%E -1.22%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 14:44
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 15:10
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:09
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 15:05
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 14:45
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.34%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 14:44
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 15:03
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:10
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:05
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-12 15:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-07-12 15:10
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-07-12 15:10