A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-07-12 15:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 80.08%1.25odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -6.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.70%80.09%80.18%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.181.181.2387.72%84.60%84.75%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 19.92%5.02odd justa
EV +14.56%
Vantagem +2.53%
Kelly +3.07%
Crescimento +0.447%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.67%19.91%19.82%22.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.254.804.785.7523.53%20.84%20.94%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +14.56%E +2.53%K +3.07%G +0.447%4.3%2026-07-12 15:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204%5.9%2026-07-12 15:09
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204%5.9%2026-07-12 15:09
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131%4.7%2026-07-12 14:59
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +6.39%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.094%3.5%2026-07-12 15:04
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073%2.9%2026-07-12 15:08
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050%4.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.81%EV +3.21%E +0.619%K +0.767%G +0.025%2.6%2026-07-12 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 15:04
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 14:45
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:09
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:44
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 15:05
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:45
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:08
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:08
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 15:04
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:10
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:59
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:45
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:44
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
Dabble (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:04
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:05
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 14:58
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 14:59
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:59
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -1.51%E -1.22%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 14:44
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 15:10
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:09
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 15:05
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 14:45
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.34%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 14:44
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 15:03
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 15:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:10
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:05
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-12 15:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-07-12 15:10
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-07-12 15:10