Language:English
Hubert Hurkacz v Sebastian Ofner
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prediction 76.11%1.31fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%75.89%76.19%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.62%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Ofner (Visit)
Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV +7.49%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%24.11%23.81%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.854.5028.57%25.74%25.97%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 76.11%; Sebastian Ofner (Visit): 23.89%. For Sebastian Ofner (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.43%E +0.793%K +1.03%G +0.035% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.30%E -0.563%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -2.54%E -0.622%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.36%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:07 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -13.05%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.05%E -0.810%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |