L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Hubert Hurkacz v Sebastian Ofner
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prévision 76.11%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.810%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%75.89%76.19%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.62%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sebastian Ofner (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV +7.49%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +2.14%
Croissance +0.160%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%24.11%23.81%27.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.883.854.5028.57%25.74%25.97%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.43%E +0.793%K +1.03%G +0.035% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.30%E -0.563%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -2.54%E -0.622%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.36%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:07 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -13.05%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.05%E -0.810%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |