Школа коэффициентов

Hubert Hurkacz v Sebastian Ofner

Начало: 2026-07-01 10:11 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 76.11%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.05%
Преимущество -0.810%
Kelly -3.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.92%75.89%76.19%79.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.62%80.00%76.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sebastian Ofner (Гости)

Прогноз 23.89%4.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.49%
Преимущество +1.67%
Kelly +2.14%
Рост +0.160%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.63%24.11%23.81%27.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.883.854.5028.57%25.74%25.97%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160%7.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160%7.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.43%E +0.793%K +1.03%G +0.035%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 10:09
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.30%E -0.563%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -2.54%E -0.622%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 10:00
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:59
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:04
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.36%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:59
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:07
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:59
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 10:10
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 10:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 10:00
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -13.05%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.05%E -0.810%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:09
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%4.1%2026-07-01 10:10