StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hubert Hurkacz v Sebastian Ofner

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 10:11 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hubert Hurkacz (Heim)

Prognose 76.11%1.31faire Quote
EV -1.05%
Vorteil -0.810%
Kelly -3.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.92%75.89%76.19%79.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.62%80.00%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.89%4.19faire Quote
EV +7.49%
Vorteil +1.67%
Kelly +2.14%
Wachstum +0.160%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.63%24.11%23.81%27.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.883.854.5028.57%25.74%25.97%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Hubert Hurkacz (Heim): 76.11%; Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts): 23.89%. Für Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.19. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.49%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160%7.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160%7.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.43%E +0.793%K +1.03%G +0.035%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 10:09
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.30%E -0.563%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -2.54%E -0.622%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 10:00
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:59
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.36%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:59
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:07
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:59
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -13.05%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.05%E -0.810%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%4.1%2026-07-01 10:10