A Escola das Odds

Hubert Hurkacz v Sebastian Ofner

Início: 2026-07-01 10:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Previsão 76.11%1.31odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.810%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.92%75.89%76.19%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.62%80.00%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sebastian Ofner (Visitante)

Previsão 23.89%4.19odd justa
EV +7.49%
Vantagem +1.67%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescimento +0.160%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.63%24.11%23.81%27.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.883.854.5028.57%25.74%25.97%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160%7.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160%7.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.43%E +0.793%K +1.03%G +0.035%6.4%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 10:09
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:10
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.30%E -0.563%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -2.54%E -0.622%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:59
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 10:00
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:59
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:09
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 10:10
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:04
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.36%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:59
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:10
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:59
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 10:07
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:10
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:59
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:10
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 10:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 10:10
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 10:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 10:00
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 10:10
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -13.05%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 10:09
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.05%E -0.810%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:09
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-01 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-07-01 10:10
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-01 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-07-01 10:10
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-01 10:10
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%4.1%2026-07-01 10:10