La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hubert Hurkacz v Sebastian Ofner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Predicción 76.11%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.810%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%75.89%76.19%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.62%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sebastian Ofner (Visitante)
Predicción 23.89%4.19momio equitativo
EV +7.49%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +2.14%
Crecimiento +0.160%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%24.11%23.81%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.854.5028.57%25.74%25.97%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.49%E +1.67%K +2.14%G +0.160% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.43%E +0.793%K +1.03%G +0.035% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.327%E +0.078%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.06%E -0.503%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.30%E -0.563%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -2.54%E -0.622%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.36%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.56%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 10:07 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.81%E -3.51%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -13.05%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.01%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.05%E -0.810%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.39%E -4.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 10:10 |