The School of OddsArthur Fery v Alexander Zverev
Head to Head
Option 1: Arthur Fery (Local)
Odds
4.7521.05%Min
5.5917.89%Mean
5.5318.08%Median
6.3015.87%Max
Consensus probabilities
15.21%6.575Min
19.90%5.025Max
16.81%5.948Mean
17.06%5.861Median
16.92%5.909IQM
16.72%5.981Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 6.30 under the IQM model: 16.92%
EV +6.62%Edge +1.05%Kelly +1.25%Growth +0.083%
Option 2: Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Odds
1.1190.09%Min
1.1487.58%Mean
1.1487.72%Median
1.1884.75%Max
Consensus probabilities
80.10%1.248Min
84.79%1.179Max
83.19%1.202Mean
82.94%1.206Median
83.08%1.204IQM
83.28%1.201Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.18 under the IQM model: 83.08%
EV -1.97%Edge -1.67%Kelly -10.95%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Arthur Fery (Local) ▼ | Alexander Zverev (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.30I 15.87% NM 15.21%EV +6.62% E +1.05% K +1.25% G +0.083% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 84.79%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 19:43 |
| 1xBet | 6.29I 15.90% NM 15.57%EV +6.46% E +1.03% K +1.22% G +0.079% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 84.43%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| Pinnacle | 6.09I 16.42% NM 15.88%EV +3.07% E +0.504% K +0.603% G +0.019% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 84.12%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67% NM 16.20%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 83.80%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 18:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.00I 16.67% NM 16.08%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 83.92%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 16.08%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 83.92%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-08 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 18:20 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.61%EV +1.55% E +0.258% K +0.309% G +0.005% | 1.11I 90.09% NM 84.39%EV -7.79% E -7.01% K -70.78% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.98I 16.72% NM 16.01%EV +1.21% E +0.202% K +0.243% G +0.003% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 83.99%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 18:04 |
| BetMGM | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.55%EV -2.68% E -0.467% K -0.565% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 83.45%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 18:00 |
| GTbets | 5.72I 17.48% NM 16.37%EV -3.19% E -0.558% K -0.676% G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 83.63%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.70I 17.54% NM 16.54%EV -3.53% E -0.619% K -0.751% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 83.46%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:04 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| BetRivers | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:04 |
| Bally Bet | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:04 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.16%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21% NM 82.84%EV -3.63% E -3.13% K -22.70% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.04%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 82.96%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.91%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 83.09%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Fliff | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.79%EV -5.22% E -0.933% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 83.21%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| Betsson | 5.53I 18.08% NM 16.97%EV -6.41% E -1.16% K -1.41% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 83.03%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 5.53I 18.08% NM 16.97%EV -6.41% E -1.16% K -1.41% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 83.03%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.29%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 82.71%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.29%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 82.71%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.29%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 82.71%EV -4.46% E -3.88% K -29.75% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:49 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:40 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:00 |
| Neds | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.04%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 82.96%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.04%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 82.96%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 18:00 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.92%EV -6.92% E -1.26% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 83.08%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.43%EV -8.61% E -1.59% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.57%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 19:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.43%EV -8.61% E -1.59% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 82.57%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.30%EV -8.61% E -1.59% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 82.70%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 18:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.30%EV -8.61% E -1.59% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50% NM 82.70%EV -6.12% E -5.42% K -47.11% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.18%EV -8.61% E -1.59% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 82.82%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-08 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.45%EV -10.30% E -1.94% K -2.40% G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 82.55%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.57%EV -15.38% E -3.08% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 81.43%EV -5.29% E -4.64% K -37.81% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 18:50 |
| ReBet | 4.80I 20.83% NM 18.92%EV -18.76% E -3.91% K -4.94% G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29% NM 81.08%EV -6.96% E -6.21% K -57.96% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.90%EV -19.61% E -4.13% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 80.10%EV -1.97% E -1.67% K -10.95% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.76%EV -19.61% E -4.13% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 80.24%EV -2.80% E -2.39% K -16.48% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Arthur Fery (Local) | Alexander Zverev (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71% NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-08 19:40 |
| Novig | 6.45I 15.50% NM 15.35% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 84.65% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63% NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63% NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-07-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63% NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-07-08 19:45 |
| ProphetX | 6.30I 15.87% NM 15.66% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 84.34% | 1.3% | 2026-07-08 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13% NM 15.65% | 1.15I 86.96% NM 84.35% | 3.1% | 2026-07-08 18:45 |