Language:English
Arthur Fery v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fery (Local)
Prediction 15.95%6.27fair odd
EV +11.63%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.225%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.79%16.02%15.73%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.026.007.0020.00%16.61%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 84.05%1.19fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -9.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.34%83.98%84.27%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.51%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +11.63%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.225% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 12:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 12:10 |
| Coolbet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 07:43 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:09 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:10 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.21%EV +2.22%E +0.347%K +0.411%G +0.009% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| BetRivers | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:43 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 12:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| ReBet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -1.92%E -0.313%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| GTbets | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -2.56%E -0.419%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 11:44 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 11:10 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 09:54 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 10:05 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 11:05 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.54%E -6.86%K -75.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Fliff | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -6.71%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.03%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.50%E -2.15%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -9.90%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| Neds | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 11:40 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 10:30 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betsson | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.28%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| BetAnything | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -18.67%E -3.66%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -1.66%E -1.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.26%E -4.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 0.1% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| ProphetX | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Novig | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |