L’École des cotes

Arthur Fery v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 12:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fery (Local)

Prévision 15.95%6.27cote équitable
EV +11.63%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.225%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.79%16.02%15.73%18.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.026.007.0020.00%16.61%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.05%1.19cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -9.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.34%83.98%84.27%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.51%88.50%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +11.63%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.225%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:14
FanDuel6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 12:09
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 12:10
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 11:00
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 07:43
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:09
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:10
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:25
Pinnacle6.41I 15.60%NM 15.21%EV +2.22%E +0.347%K +0.411%G +0.009%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 12:20
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:43
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 12:28
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:25
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:30
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:25
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 13:20
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 12:25
Marathon Bet6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -1.92%E -0.313%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 12:20
GTbets6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -2.56%E -0.419%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 06:10
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 07:45
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 07:45
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 11:44
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 11:10
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 09:54
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 10:05
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 11:05
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.54%E -6.86%K -75.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 07:45
Fliff5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -6.71%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 12:25
MyBookie.ag5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.03%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 12:29
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 12:30
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 12:15
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.50%E -2.15%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:30
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 12:30
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 10:25
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 12:30
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 12:30
1xBet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -9.90%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 12:25
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 10:25
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 10:25
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:35
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 11:40
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 10:30
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 17:50
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 12:30
Betsson5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:29
NordicBet5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.28%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 12:25
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -18.67%E -3.66%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -1.66%E -1.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 12:20
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.26%E -4.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 12:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%0.1%2026-07-10 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:25
ProphetX7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-07-10 12:25
Novig6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%2.2%2026-07-10 12:30