La scuola delle quote

Arthur Fery v Alexander Zverev

Inizio: 2026-07-10 12:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arthur Fery (Casa)

Previsione 15.95%6.27quota equa
EV +11.63%
Vantaggio +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.225%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.79%16.02%15.73%18.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.026.007.0020.00%16.61%16.67%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)

Previsione 84.05%1.19quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -9.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.34%83.98%84.27%86.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.51%88.50%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +11.63%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.225%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:14
FanDuel6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 12:09
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 12:10
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 11:00
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 07:43
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:09
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:10
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:25
Pinnacle6.41I 15.60%NM 15.21%EV +2.22%E +0.347%K +0.411%G +0.009%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 12:20
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:43
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 12:28
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:25
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:30
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:25
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 13:20
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 12:25
Marathon Bet6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -1.92%E -0.313%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 12:20
GTbets6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -2.56%E -0.419%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 06:10
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 07:45
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 07:45
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 11:44
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 11:10
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 09:54
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 10:05
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 11:05
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.54%E -6.86%K -75.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 07:45
Fliff5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -6.71%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 12:25
MyBookie.ag5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.03%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 12:29
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 12:30
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 12:15
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.50%E -2.15%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:30
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 12:30
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 10:25
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 12:30
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 12:30
1xBet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -9.90%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 12:25
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 10:25
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 10:25
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:35
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 11:40
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 10:30
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 17:50
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 12:30
Betsson5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:29
NordicBet5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.28%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 12:25
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -18.67%E -3.66%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -1.66%E -1.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 12:20
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.26%E -4.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 12:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%0.1%2026-07-10 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:25
ProphetX7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-07-10 12:25
Novig6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%2.2%2026-07-10 12:30