La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Fery v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fery (Local)
Predicción 15.95%6.27momio equitativo
EV +11.63%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.225%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.79%16.02%15.73%18.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.026.007.0020.00%16.61%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 84.05%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -9.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.34%83.98%84.27%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.51%88.50%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +11.63%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.225% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:14 |
| FanDuel | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 12:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 12:10 |
| Coolbet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 07:43 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:09 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:10 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.21%EV +2.22%E +0.347%K +0.411%G +0.009% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| BetRivers | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:43 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 12:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| ReBet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -1.92%E -0.313%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| GTbets | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -2.56%E -0.419%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 11:44 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 11:10 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 09:54 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 10:05 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 11:05 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.54%E -6.86%K -75.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Fliff | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -6.71%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.03%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.50%E -2.15%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -9.90%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| Neds | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 11:40 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 10:30 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betsson | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.28%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| BetAnything | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -18.67%E -3.66%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -1.66%E -1.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.26%E -4.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 0.1% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| ProphetX | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Novig | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |