StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fery v Alexander Zverev

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-10 12:35 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fery (Heim)

Prognose 15.95%6.27faire Quote
EV +11.63%
Vorteil +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Wachstum +0.225%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.79%16.02%15.73%18.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.006.026.007.0020.00%16.61%16.67%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Auswärts)

Prognose 84.05%1.19faire Quote
EV -1.66%
Vorteil -1.42%
Kelly -9.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.34%83.98%84.27%86.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.51%88.50%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arthur Fery (Heim): 15.95%; Alexander Zverev (Auswärts): 84.05%. Für Arthur Fery (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.27. 22 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.63%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +11.63%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.225%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:14
FanDuel🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 12:09
SportsBet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 12:10
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 07:43
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:09
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:10
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 12:25
Pinnacle🎯6.41I 15.60%NM 15.21%EV +2.22%E +0.347%K +0.411%G +0.009%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 12:20
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
TABtouch🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
Bally Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:45
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:43
Betclic (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 12:28
Unibet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:25
ReBet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -1.92%E -0.313%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 12:20
GTbets🎯6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -2.56%E -0.419%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 06:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 07:45
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 07:45
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 11:44
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 11:10
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 09:54
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 10:05
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 11:05
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.54%E -6.86%K -75.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 07:45
Fliff🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -6.71%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 12:25
MyBookie.ag🎯5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.03%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 12:29
Winamax (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 12:30
Fanatics🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 12:15
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.50%E -2.15%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 12:30
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 12:30
1xBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -9.90%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 12:25
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 10:25
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 10:25
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:35
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 11:40
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 10:30
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 17:50
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 12:30
Betsson🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:29
NordicBet🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:30
Dabble (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.28%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 12:25
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -18.67%E -3.66%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -1.66%E -1.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 12:20
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.26%E -4.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 12:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%0.1%2026-07-10 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:25
ProphetX7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-07-10 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-07-10 12:25
Novig6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%2.2%2026-07-10 12:30