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Arthur Fery v Alexander Zverev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Arthur Fery (Хозяева)
Прогноз 15.95%6.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.63%
Преимущество +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Рост +0.225%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.79%16.02%15.73%18.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.006.026.007.0020.00%16.61%16.67%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Alexander Zverev (Гости)
Прогноз 84.05%1.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.66%
Преимущество -1.42%
Kelly -9.75%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
81.34%83.98%84.27%86.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.51%88.50%85.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Arthur Fery (Хозяева): 15.95%; Alexander Zverev (Гости): 84.05%. Для исхода «Arthur Fery (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.27. 22 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.63%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +11.63%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.225% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.85%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.082% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-10 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 07:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.66%E +0.563%K +0.665%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.21%EV +2.22%E +0.347%K +0.411%G +0.009% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 07:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +2.06%E +0.322%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 12:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -1.92%E -0.313%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.49%EV -2.56%E -0.419%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -2.72%E -0.446%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 10:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.54%E -6.86%K -75.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 07:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -6.71%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.03%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -7.51%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.50%E -2.15%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -9.90%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.34%E -2.90%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.23%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.70%E -6.04%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -12.93%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.28%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -18.67%E -3.66%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -1.66%E -1.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.26%E -4.05%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.02%E -4.44%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 12:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 0.1% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 12:25 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-07-10 12:30 |