The School of OddsAlex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli
Head to Head
Option 1: Alex de Minaur (Local)
Odds
1.2182.64%Min
1.2480.65%Mean
1.2480.65%Median
1.2778.74%Max
Consensus probabilities
74.23%1.347Min
78.02%1.282Max
76.30%1.311Mean
76.34%1.310Median
76.39%1.309IQM
76.38%1.309Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.27 under the IQM model: 76.39%
EV -2.99%Edge -2.35%Kelly -11.08%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Odds
3.6027.78%Min
4.0025.01%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3622.94%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.98%4.549Min
25.77%3.880Max
23.70%4.219Mean
23.66%4.226Median
23.61%4.235IQM
23.62%4.233Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.36 under the IQM model: 23.61%
EV +2.96%Edge +0.679%Kelly +0.881%Growth +0.026%
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Alex de Minaur (Local) | Flavio Cobolli (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 77.58%EV -3.75% E -2.98% K -14.44% G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94% NM 22.42%EV +2.96% E +0.679% K +0.881% G +0.026% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97% NM 78.02%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.98%EV +2.25% E +0.520% K +0.676% G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.23I 81.30% NM 77.55%EV -6.05% E -4.92% K -26.29% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.45%EV +0.362% E +0.085% K +0.111% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 76.92%EV -3.75% E -2.98% K -14.44% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 23.08%EV -0.819% E -0.195% K -0.256% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74% NM 76.65%EV -2.99% E -2.35% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98% NM 23.35%EV -1.53% E -0.366% K -0.482% G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 17:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.99%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 23.01%EV -2.00% E -0.482% K -0.635% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 10:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.64%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.36%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -3.18% E -0.776% K -1.03% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.56%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.44%EV -4.36% E -1.08% K -1.43% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:44 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 76.48%EV -6.05% E -4.92% K -26.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.52%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 76.48%EV -6.05% E -4.92% K -26.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.52%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64% NM 76.78%EV -7.57% E -6.26% K -36.06% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.22%EV -5.54% E -1.39% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -6.72% E -1.70% K -2.28% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -6.72% E -1.70% K -2.28% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 75.97%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51% NM 24.03%EV -7.43% E -1.90% K -2.54% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65% NM 75.97%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51% NM 24.03%EV -7.43% E -1.90% K -2.54% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.73%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.27%EV -7.90% E -2.03% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.73%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.27%EV -7.90% E -2.03% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.17%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.83%EV -7.90% E -2.03% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.17%EV -6.81% E -5.58% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.83%EV -7.90% E -2.03% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.53%EV -3.75% E -2.98% K -14.44% G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71% NM 24.47%EV -8.14% E -2.09% K -2.82% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.49%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.51%EV -9.08% E -2.36% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30% NM 75.79%EV -6.05% E -4.92% K -26.29% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.21%EV -9.08% E -2.36% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74% NM 75.05%EV -2.99% E -2.35% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18% NM 24.95%EV -9.79% E -2.56% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 15:10 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.25%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.75%EV -10.26% E -2.70% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -11.45% E -3.05% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -11.45% E -3.05% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -11.45% E -3.05% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65% NM 75.15%EV -5.28% E -4.26% K -22.01% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.85%EV -11.45% E -3.05% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00% NM 74.23%EV -4.52% E -3.61% K -18.07% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -14.99% E -4.16% K -5.76% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64% NM 74.84%EV -7.57% E -6.26% K -36.06% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.16%EV -14.99% E -4.16% K -5.76% G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Alex de Minaur (Local) | Flavio Cobolli (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.40I 22.73% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.40I 22.73% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.40I 22.73% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.40I 22.73% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 17:20 |
| Novig | 1.30I 76.92% | 4.26I 23.47% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13% | 4.25I 23.53% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 17:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.30I 23.26% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |