A Escola das Odds

Alex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-07-06 12:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 75.14%1.33odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -10.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.38%75.10%74.73%78.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.251.2983.33%79.58%79.68%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 24.86%4.02odd justa
EV +11.87%
Vantagem +2.64%
Kelly +3.39%
Crescimento +0.403%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.05%24.90%25.27%27.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.783.754.5030.77%26.47%26.67%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +11.87%E +2.64%K +3.39%G +0.403%5.6%2026-07-06 12:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +6.15%E +1.44%K +1.88%G +0.116%2.2%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061%5.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%5.0%2026-07-06 12:09
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 12:09
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 09:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 07:59
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:39
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.80%E -0.457%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:04
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 12:05
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 12:10
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.30%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:30
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:00
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 11:55
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:10
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 12:03
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 12:10
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 11:50
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:25
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:50
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:04
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:05
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 11:50
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 12:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 11:18
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -10.75%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 12:10
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:10
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:10
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 12:10
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%EV -17.22%E -5.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -19.21%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-07-06 12:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10