مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli

البداية: 2026-07-06 12:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex de Minaur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.14%1.33السعر العادل
EV -3.07%
الأفضلية -2.38%
Kelly -10.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.38%75.10%74.73%78.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.261.251.2983.33%79.58%79.68%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flavio Cobolli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.86%4.02السعر العادل
EV +11.87%
الأفضلية +2.64%
Kelly +3.39%
النمو +0.403%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.05%24.90%25.27%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.783.754.5030.77%26.47%26.67%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +11.87%E +2.64%K +3.39%G +0.403%5.6%2026-07-06 12:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +6.15%E +1.44%K +1.88%G +0.116%2.2%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061%5.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%5.0%2026-07-06 12:09
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 12:09
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 09:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 07:59
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:39
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.80%E -0.457%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:04
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 12:05
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 12:10
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.30%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:30
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:00
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 11:55
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:10
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 12:03
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 12:10
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 11:50
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:25
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:50
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:04
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:05
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 11:50
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 12:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 11:18
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -10.75%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 12:10
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:10
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:10
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 12:10
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%EV -17.22%E -5.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -19.21%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 12:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-07-06 12:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10