La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Predicción 75.14%1.33momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -10.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.38%75.10%74.73%78.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.251.2983.33%79.58%79.68%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 24.86%4.02momio equitativo
EV +11.87%
Ventaja +2.64%
Kelly +3.39%
Crecimiento +0.403%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%24.90%25.27%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.783.754.5030.77%26.47%26.67%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +11.87%E +2.64%K +3.39%G +0.403% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 12:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +6.15%E +1.44%K +1.88%G +0.116% | 2.2% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 12:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 12:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 09:30 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 07:59 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.80%E -0.457%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.30%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 12:03 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 10:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:04 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 11:18 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -10.75%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Fliff | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%EV -17.22%E -5.17%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-06 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -19.21%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |