Szkoła Kursów

Alex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli

Początek: 2026-07-06 12:12 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 75.14%1.33kurs godziwy
EV -3.07%
Przewaga -2.38%
Kelly -10.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.38%75.10%74.73%78.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.261.251.2983.33%79.58%79.68%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Flavio Cobolli (Goście)

Prognoza 24.86%4.02kurs godziwy
EV +11.87%
Przewaga +2.64%
Kelly +3.39%
Wzrost +0.403%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.05%24.90%25.27%27.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.783.754.5030.77%26.47%26.67%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +11.87%E +2.64%K +3.39%G +0.403%5.6%2026-07-06 12:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +6.15%E +1.44%K +1.88%G +0.116%2.2%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061%5.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%3.8%2026-07-06 11:25
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012%5.0%2026-07-06 12:09
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 12:09
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 09:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 07:59
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:39
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.80%E -0.457%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:04
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 12:05
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 12:10
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.30%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:30
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:00
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 11:55
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:10
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 12:03
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 12:10
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 11:50
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:25
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:50
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:04
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:05
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 11:50
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 12:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 11:18
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -10.75%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 12:10
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:10
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:10
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 12:10
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%EV -17.22%E -5.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-06 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -19.21%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 12:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-06 12:10
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-07-06 12:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-07-06 12:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%5.3%2026-07-06 12:10