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Alex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Alex de Minaur (Хозяева)
Прогноз 75.14%1.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.07%
Преимущество -2.38%
Kelly -10.58%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.38%75.10%74.73%78.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.261.251.2983.33%79.58%79.68%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Flavio Cobolli (Гости)
Прогноз 24.86%4.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.87%
Преимущество +2.64%
Kelly +3.39%
Рост +0.403%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.05%24.90%25.27%27.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.783.754.5030.77%26.47%26.67%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Alex de Minaur (Хозяева): 75.14%; Flavio Cobolli (Гости): 24.86%. Для исхода «Flavio Cobolli (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.02. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.87%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +11.87%E +2.64%K +3.39%G +0.403% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +6.15%E +1.44%K +1.88%G +0.116% | 2.2% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +4.41%E +1.05%K +1.38%G +0.061% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.93%E +0.470%K +0.621%G +0.012% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 12:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 07:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.561%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.80%E -0.457%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.30%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.58%E -6.16%K -32.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 12:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.32%E -4.22%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.80%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.33%E -6.83%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 11:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -10.75%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.07%E -2.38%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%EV -4.57%E -3.60%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%EV -17.22%E -5.17%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-06 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -6.83%E -5.50%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -19.21%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:10 |