Школа коэффициентов

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Nicolas Mejia

Начало: 2026-06-29 15:17 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.22%1.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.05%
Преимущество -0.595%
Kelly -1.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.76

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.35%56.29%56.41%58.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.17%58.82%56.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nicolas Mejia (Гости)

Прогноз 43.78%2.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.687%
Преимущество +0.299%
Kelly +0.528%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.33%43.71%43.59%45.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.39%46.51%43.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.687%E +0.299%K +0.528%G +0.004%5.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.626%E -0.276%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 15:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:04
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:05
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:03
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.25%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 15:11
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:11
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.05%E -0.595%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.76%E -3.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:08
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:08
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:07
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:11
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 15:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 15:11
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 15:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-29 15:11
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-06-29 15:11
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-06-29 15:10