Szkoła Kursów

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Nicolas Mejia

Początek: 2026-06-29 15:17 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.22%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -1.05%
Przewaga -0.595%
Kelly -1.38%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.76

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.35%56.29%56.41%58.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.17%58.82%56.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nicolas Mejia (Goście)

Prognoza 43.78%2.28kurs godziwy
EV +0.687%
Przewaga +0.299%
Kelly +0.528%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.33%43.71%43.59%45.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.39%46.51%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.687%E +0.299%K +0.528%G +0.004%5.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.626%E -0.276%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 15:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:04
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:05
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:03
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.25%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 15:11
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:11
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.05%E -0.595%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.76%E -3.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:08
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:08
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:07
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:11
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 15:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 15:11
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 15:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-29 15:11
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-06-29 15:11
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-06-29 15:10