Idioma:Português
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Nicolas Mejia
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Previsão 56.22%1.78odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.595%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.35%56.29%56.41%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.17%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nicolas Mejia (Visitante)
Previsão 43.78%2.28odd justa
EV +0.687%
Vantagem +0.299%
Kelly +0.528%
Crescimento +0.004%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.71%43.59%45.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.39%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 56.22%; Nicolas Mejia (Visitante): 43.78%. Para Nicolas Mejia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.28. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.687%.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.687%E +0.299%K +0.528%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.626%E -0.276%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.25%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.05%E -0.595%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.76%E -3.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 15:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:07 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 15:09 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |