StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Nicolas Mejia

Aanvang: 2026-06-29 15:17 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

62 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Thuis)

Prognose 56.22%1.78margevrije odds
EV -1.05%
Voordeel -0.595%
Kelly -1.38%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.76

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
54.35%56.29%56.41%58.67%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.17%58.82%56.82%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Nicolas Mejia (Uit)

Prognose 43.78%2.28margevrije odds
EV +0.687%
Voordeel +0.299%
Kelly +0.528%
Groei +0.004%

bij maximale odds 2.30

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
41.33%43.71%43.59%45.65%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.39%46.51%43.48%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Thuis): 56.22%; Nicolas Mejia (Uit): 43.78%. Voor Nicolas Mejia (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.28. 1 wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 2.30, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.687%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (62 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.687%E +0.299%K +0.528%G +0.004%5.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.626%E -0.276%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 15:10
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:05
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:03
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.25%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 15:11
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:11
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:11
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.05%E -0.595%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.76%E -3.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:08
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:08
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:07
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:11
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 15:11
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-29 15:11
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-06-29 15:11
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-06-29 15:10