Die Wettquotenschule

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Nicolas Mejia

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 15:17 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim)

Prognose 56.22%1.78faire Quote
EV -1.05%
Vorteil -0.595%
Kelly -1.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.35%56.29%56.41%58.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.17%58.82%56.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Nicolas Mejia (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.78%2.28faire Quote
EV +0.687%
Vorteil +0.299%
Kelly +0.528%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.33%43.71%43.59%45.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.39%46.51%43.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.687%E +0.299%K +0.528%G +0.004%5.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.626%E -0.276%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 15:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:04
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:05
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:03
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.25%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 15:11
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 15:11
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.05%E -0.595%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:10
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.76%E -3.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:08
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:11
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 15:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:08
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:07
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:11
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 15:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 15:11
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 15:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-29 15:11
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-29 15:11
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-06-29 15:11
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-06-29 15:10