Langue:Français
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Nicolas Mejia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prévision 56.22%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.35%56.29%56.41%58.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.17%58.82%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nicolas Mejia (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.78%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.687%
Avantage +0.299%
Kelly +0.528%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.71%43.59%45.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.39%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local) : 56.22% ; Nicolas Mejia (Visiteur) : 43.78%. Pour Nicolas Mejia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.28. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.687%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.687%E +0.299%K +0.528%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -0.626%E -0.276%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.50%E -0.668%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 15:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.25%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.05%E -0.595%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.76%E -3.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 15:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.61%E -0.920%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:07 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 15:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 15:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |