Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen

2026-07-31 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Prediction 64.66%1.55fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -6.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.75%64.55%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.98%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Visit)

Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV +0.719%
Edge +0.252%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%35.25%35.45%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.8540.00%36.80%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.1%2026-07-30 10:15
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 09:59
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 09:57
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.719%E +0.252%K +0.389%G +0.003%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.341%E -0.121%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 10:15
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.05%E -0.374%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.05%E -0.374%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 10:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.48%E -6.77%K -23.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.05%E -0.374%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 09:59
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -1.40%E -0.502%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 10:10
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.892%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 10:35
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.46%E -0.892%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 10:34
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 10:15
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:10
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.18%E -5.76%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 12:25
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.88%E -1.42%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 10:15
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 12:40
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 13:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 10:14
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 11:40
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:04
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:05
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 11:43
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:45
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 10:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 09:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.30%E -2.91%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.95%E -3.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 10:05
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.60%E -3.83%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 11:18
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 10:04
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 10:05
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.24%E -4.31%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 10:04
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 10:04
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.89%E -4.78%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 10:05
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.01%E -2.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 09:00
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.54%E -5.27%K -17.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-30 12:55
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-30 13:05
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-07-30 12:55
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%4.4%2026-07-30 12:50
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%7.2%2026-07-30 12:55