Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen

2026-07-31 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Predicción 65.39%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.59%65.35%65.48%66.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.51%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Predicción 34.61%2.89momio equitativo
EV +0.383%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.202%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.26%34.65%34.52%36.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.34%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV +0.383%E +0.132%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-30 13:30
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-30 13:15
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 09:59
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 09:57
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.35%E -0.473%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 10:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.73%E -0.972%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 13:55
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 13:39
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 13:30
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 10:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 09:59
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.12%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.12%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 13:30
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.54%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -4.12%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 13:09
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 11:44
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 13:40
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 13:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 13:14
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 13:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:10
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 13:29
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 12:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 13:10
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 13:10
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:29
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:29
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 10:14
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:29
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 13:44
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 13:55
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:40
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 13:30
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 13:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 10:50
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 11:18
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 10:04
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 13:30
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 13:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-07-30 12:55
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%3.9%2026-07-30 13:50
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%4.9%2026-07-30 13:50
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%7.2%2026-07-30 12:55