语言:简体中文
Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Taylor Fritz (主队)
预测 67.79%1.48公平赔率
EV -2.38%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -5.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
65.53%67.73%67.82%69.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.31%71.43%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alex Michelsen (客队)
预测 32.21%3.10公平赔率
EV -0.155%
优势 -0.050%
Kelly -0.074%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.80%32.27%32.18%34.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.902.883.1037.04%34.52%34.72%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Taylor Fritz (主队)：67.79%；Alex Michelsen (客队)：32.21%。 对于“Alex Michelsen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.105。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.100，期望值为-0.155%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 04:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.76%E -0.579%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.02%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 19:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.12%E -0.365%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.12%E -0.365%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.155%E -0.050%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.76%E -0.579%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.13%E -5.20%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 19:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.13%E -5.20%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |