Langue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 67.79%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -5.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%67.73%67.82%69.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.31%71.43%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.21%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.155%
Avantage -0.050%
Kelly -0.074%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.80%32.27%32.18%34.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.883.1037.04%34.52%34.72%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 67.79% ; Alex Michelsen (Visiteur) : 32.21%. Pour Alex Michelsen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.105. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.100, pour une espérance de -0.155% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 04:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.76%E -0.579%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.02%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 19:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.12%E -0.365%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.12%E -0.365%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.155%E -0.050%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.76%E -0.579%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.13%E -5.20%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 19:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.13%E -5.20%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |