Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen

Inizio: 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC

Finale: Taylor Fritz 2–1 Alex Michelsen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz (Casa)

Previsione 67.79%1.48quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -5.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.53%67.73%67.82%69.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.31%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.21%3.10quota equa
EV -0.155%
Vantaggio -0.050%
Kelly -0.074%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.80%32.27%32.18%34.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.902.883.1037.04%34.52%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Taylor Fritz (Casa): 67.79%; Alex Michelsen (Trasferta): 32.21%. Per Alex Michelsen (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.105. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.100, con un valore atteso del -0.155%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.38%E -1.65%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.76%E -0.579%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 17:55
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.02%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 17:14
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:44
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:44
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:44
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 19:19
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 12:25
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.43%E -4.16%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:00
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.74%E -2.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.04%E -4.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.12%E -0.365%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.12%E -0.365%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:54
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 17:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 17:54
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 19:55
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 19:14
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:55
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:10
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:14
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.09%E -3.64%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.82%E -3.51%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 19:34
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.99%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.77%E -4.15%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.21%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.155%E -0.050%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.76%E -0.579%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 16:05
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.45%E -4.67%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.60%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.13%E -5.20%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 19:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.13%E -5.20%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 19:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 16:04
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.24%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 16:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-07-31 19:35
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-07-31 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-07-31 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-07-31 19:35
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-07-31 19:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.4%2026-07-31 19:50
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-07-31 19:50