Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-07-31 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prediction 63.62%1.57fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.58%63.59%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.24%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Visit)

Prediction 36.38%2.75fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.42%36.41%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.7040.82%38.49%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.67%E -1.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 08:49
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 08:50
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.77%E -0.654%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 12:40
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.49%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.49%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 11:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 11:55
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 08:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 11:39
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 11:43
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 10:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 11:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:10
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 11:20
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 11:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 11:29
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 11:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.59%E -2.99%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:50
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 08:29
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 11:24
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 11:19
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:47
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:19
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:18
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 11:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 11:19
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.04%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 11:19
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 11:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 11:25
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 11:19
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.50%E -2.53%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 11:43
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 08:49
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 11:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 11:20
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -10.13%E -4.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-07-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-07-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-07-30 12:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%4.5%2026-07-30 12:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%4.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-30 12:50
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%7.3%2026-07-30 13:00