Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-07-31 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Predicción 63.62%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -5.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.22%63.58%63.59%64.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.18%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)

Predicción 36.38%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.654%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.38%36.42%36.41%38.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.7041.67%38.54%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.67%E -1.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 10:15
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.67%E -1.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 13:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 08:49
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 08:50
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.30%E -2.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 13:39
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.77%E -0.654%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 12:40
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.49%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.49%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 11:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 11:55
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 08:49
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 11:39
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 11:43
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 10:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 11:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:10
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 11:20
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 11:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 13:05
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.59%E -2.99%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:50
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 08:29
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 11:19
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:49
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:47
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 08:50
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 08:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:19
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 11:18
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 11:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 11:19
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.04%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 11:19
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 11:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 11:25
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 11:19
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.50%E -2.53%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 11:43
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 08:49
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.31%E -1.64%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 11:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.68%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 11:20
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -10.13%E -4.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-07-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-07-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-07-30 12:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%4.5%2026-07-30 12:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%4.9%2026-07-30 12:55
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-30 12:50
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%7.3%2026-07-30 13:00