Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 60.93%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.801%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.97%60.87%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.07%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.03%39.13%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5244.44%41.51%41.67%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 60.93% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 39.07%. Pour Rafael Jodar (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.62, pour une espérance de -1.30% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 22:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-31 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-31 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.44%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.35%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.54%E -0.610%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.66%E -1.91%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 08:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 19:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |