Sprache:Deutsch
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Rafael Jodar (Heim)
Prognose 60.93%1.64faire Quote
EV -1.30%
Vorteil -0.801%
Kelly -2.09%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.44%60.97%60.87%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)
Prognose 39.07%2.56faire Quote
EV -1.54%
Vorteil -0.610%
Kelly -1.01%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%39.03%39.13%41.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.412.402.5244.44%41.51%41.67%39.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 60.93%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 39.07%. Für Rafael Jodar (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.64. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.62, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.30%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 22:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-31 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-31 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.44%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.35%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.54%E -0.610%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.66%E -1.91%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 08:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 19:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |