语言:简体中文
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Rafael Jodar (主队)
预测 60.93%1.64公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -0.801%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
58.44%60.97%60.87%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lorenzo Musetti (客队)
预测 39.07%2.56公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.610%
Kelly -1.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.52
博彩公司预测分布
37.50%39.03%39.13%41.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.412.402.5244.44%41.51%41.67%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rafael Jodar (主队)：60.93%；Lorenzo Musetti (客队)：39.07%。 对于“Rafael Jodar (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.64。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.62，期望值为-1.30%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 22:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-31 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-31 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.44%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 22:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.35%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.54%E -0.610%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.66%E -1.91%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 21:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 08:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 19:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 22:20 |