StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti

Matchstart: 2026-07-31 22:24 UTC

Slutresultat: Rafael Jodar 2–1 Lorenzo Musetti

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 60.93%1.64rättvist odds
EV -1.30%
Fördel -0.801%
Kelly -2.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.44%60.97%60.87%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 39.07%2.56rättvist odds
EV -1.54%
Fördel -0.610%
Kelly -1.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.50%39.03%39.13%41.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.412.402.5244.44%41.51%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 60.93%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 39.07%. För Rafael Jodar (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.64. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.62, med väntevärdet -1.30%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 22:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.30%E -0.801%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 22:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 22:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-31 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.71%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-31 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.13%E -1.97%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.44%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:19
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.74%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:09
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:39
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:54
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 22:15
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 22:19
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 22:19
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 22:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 21:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.35%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.54%E -0.610%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 21:54
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.66%E -1.91%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 21:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:43
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 21:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 22:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:20
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 21:59
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 22:00
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 08:29
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 19:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 21:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-31 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-31 21:55
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-31 22:20
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-31 22:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-07-31 22:20