預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Michelsen v Mackenzie McDonald

開賽時間: 2026-07-28 16:43 UTC

最終賽果: Alex Michelsen 2–0 Mackenzie McDonald

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

60 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Michelsen (主隊)

預測 75.60%1.32公平賠率
EV -2.47%
優勢 -1.92%
Kelly -8.53%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.29

博彩公司預測分布
73.22%75.56%75.44%76.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.89%80.00%77.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Mackenzie McDonald (客隊)

預測 24.40%4.10公平賠率
EV +1.25%
優勢 +0.302%
Kelly +0.398%
成長率 +0.005%

假設最高賠率為 4.15

博彩公司預測分布
23.01%24.44%24.56%26.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.873.904.1528.57%25.86%25.64%24.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Alex Michelsen (主隊):75.60%;Mackenzie McDonald (客隊):24.40%。 對於「Mackenzie McDonald (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.10的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.15,對應+1.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (60 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005%2.8%2026-07-28 13:29
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-28 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 16:39
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 11:49
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:44
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:44
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 16:33
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 11:14
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 12:08
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 15:44
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 16:39
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 10:49
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 15:50
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 10:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 10:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 15:22
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 15:23
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:39
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 09:59
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 09:54
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 10:39
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 10:35
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 09:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-28 15:05
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-07-28 16:40
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%3.3%2026-07-28 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%8.3%2026-07-28 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%8.3%2026-07-28 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 49.76%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.24%95.1%2026-07-28 16:35