Idioma:Português
Alex Michelsen v Mackenzie McDonald
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Previsão 75.60%1.32odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -8.53%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.22%75.56%75.44%76.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.89%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mackenzie McDonald (Visitante)
Previsão 24.40%4.10odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.302%
Kelly +0.398%
Crescimento +0.005%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.01%24.44%24.56%26.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.873.904.1528.57%25.86%25.64%24.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Michelsen (Local): 75.60%; Mackenzie McDonald (Visitante): 24.40%. Para Mackenzie McDonald (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.10. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.
Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 12:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 10:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 10:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 09:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 49.76% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 50.24% | 95.1% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |