StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Michelsen v Mackenzie McDonald

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-28 16:43 UTC

Endstand: Alex Michelsen 2–0 Mackenzie McDonald

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Michelsen (Heim)

Prognose 75.60%1.32faire Quote
EV -2.47%
Vorteil -1.92%
Kelly -8.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.22%75.56%75.44%76.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.89%80.00%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Mackenzie McDonald (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.40%4.10faire Quote
EV +1.25%
Vorteil +0.302%
Kelly +0.398%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.01%24.44%24.56%26.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.873.904.1528.57%25.86%25.64%24.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 75.60%; Mackenzie McDonald (Auswärts): 24.40%. Für Mackenzie McDonald (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.10. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.15 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.25%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005%2.8%2026-07-28 13:29
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-28 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 16:39
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 11:49
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:44
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:44
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 16:33
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 11:14
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 12:08
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:49
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 15:44
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 16:39
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 10:49
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 15:50
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 10:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 10:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 15:22
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 15:23
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:39
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 09:59
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 09:54
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 10:39
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 10:35
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 09:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-28 15:05
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-07-28 16:40
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%3.3%2026-07-28 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%8.3%2026-07-28 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%8.3%2026-07-28 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 49.76%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.24%95.1%2026-07-28 16:35