Alex Michelsen v Mackenzie McDonald

2026-07-28 16:30 UTC — ATP Washington Open

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29 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

73%

27%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Casa)

Previsione 73.33%1.36quota equa

EV -2.47%

Vantaggio -1.86%

Kelly -7.49%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

70.80%73.49%73.35%75.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.52%77.52%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mackenzie McDonald (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.67%3.75quota equa

EV +2.94%

Vantaggio +0.763%

Kelly +1.03%

Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

24.76%26.51%26.65%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

3.203.503.503.8631.25%28.60%28.57%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
DraftKings	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.44%G +0.000%	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV +2.94%E +0.763%K +1.03%G +0.030%	4.6%	2026-07-28 00:09
Pinnacle	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV +2.14%E +0.560%K +0.758%G +0.016%	3.6%	2026-07-28 01:35
Bovada	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-28 01:50
1xBet	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.94%E -3.01%K -12.70%G +0.000%	3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.46%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-28 01:30
BetMGM	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-28 01:05
Bet Right	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-28 01:35
NordicBet	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-28 01:06
Fanatics	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-28 01:05
Betsson	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-28 01:06
888sport	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 01:25
William Hill	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 01:25
Mr Green (SE)	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 01:25
888sport (SE)	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 01:25
betfred_uk	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-28 00:55
Betr (AU)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-28 01:55
Unibet (UK)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-28 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.14%E -4.79%K -21.92%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-28 01:00
Coral	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.14%E -4.79%K -21.92%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-28 01:05
Fliff	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.14%E -4.79%K -21.92%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-28 02:05
NetBet (FR)	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.35%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-28 01:30
betano_uk	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-28 01:49
Bet Victor	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.40%E -4.19%K -18.63%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-28 01:49
Unibet (FR)	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.44%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-28 01:06
ReBet	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.44%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-28 01:05
Neds	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-28 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-28 01:00
Betclic (FR)	1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.60%E -6.03%K -29.24%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-28 01:10
PlayUp	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.47%E -1.86%K -7.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-28 01:05
TAB	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.20%E -2.43%K -10.01%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.66%E -4.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-28 01:30

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Novig	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%	4.7%	2026-07-28 01:25