Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Mackenzie McDonald
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 75.60%1.32kurs godziwy
EV -2.47%
Przewaga -1.92%
Kelly -8.53%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.22%75.56%75.44%76.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.89%80.00%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Mackenzie McDonald (Goście)
Prognoza 24.40%4.10kurs godziwy
EV +1.25%
Przewaga +0.302%
Kelly +0.398%
Wzrost +0.005%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.01%24.44%24.56%26.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.873.904.1528.57%25.86%25.64%24.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 75.60%; Mackenzie McDonald (Goście): 24.40%. Dla wyniku Mackenzie McDonald (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.10. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.15, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.25%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.25%E +0.302%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.65%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 12:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 10:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 15:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 15:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 10:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 09:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 49.76% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 50.24% | 95.1% | 2026-07-28 16:35 |