Language:English
Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 23.93%4.18fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.57%23.79%23.81%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.984.004.4028.57%25.12%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Visit)
Prediction 76.07%1.31fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -12.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.31%76.21%76.19%78.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.231.2784.03%81.05%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tommy Paul (Local): 23.93%; Carlos Alcaraz (Visit): 76.07%. For Tommy Paul (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.40, producing a positive expected value of +5.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.28%E +1.20%K +1.55%G +0.082% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.95%E -6.57%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-29 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +2.17%E +0.507%K +0.662%G +0.014% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-29 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +2.17%E +0.507%K +0.662%G +0.014% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-29 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +1.69%E +0.397%K +0.519%G +0.009% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.39%EV -0.466%E -0.112%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.61%EV -3.39%E -2.67%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-30 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -5.67%E -4.57%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.15%E -3.29%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-30 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-29 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 00:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.67%E -4.57%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-29 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-29 19:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.39%E -2.67%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.49%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-30 00:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.15%E -3.29%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-30 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-30 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-30 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-30 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-30 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -9.47%E -7.96%K -49.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-29 22:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.67%E -4.57%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-30 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 00:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.95%E -6.57%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-30 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.28%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.91%E -3.93%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.28%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-30 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.28%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-30 00:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 00:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-30 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -16.26%E -4.65%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.95%E -6.57%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-30 00:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-10-30 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-10-30 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-10-29 23:40 |