Idioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 24.93%4.01momio equitativo
EV +4.69%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.94%24.88%25.00%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.774.2030.77%26.28%26.49%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante)
Predicción 75.07%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -8.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%75.12%75.00%77.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.251.251.3084.03%79.77%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tommy Paul (Local): 24.93%; Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante): 75.07%. Para Tommy Paul (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.01. 18 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.69%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.69%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.45%E +0.596%K +0.787%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.29%E -0.326%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-30 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -10.66%E -8.96%K -56.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.03%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.40%E -1.85%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 01:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 2.2% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |