Langue:Français
Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
Résultat du match
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV +4.69%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.069%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.94%24.88%25.00%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.774.2030.77%26.28%26.49%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.07%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -8.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%75.12%75.00%77.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.251.251.3084.03%79.77%80.00%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Tommy Paul (Local) : 24.93% ; Carlos Alcaraz (Visiteur) : 75.07%. Pour Tommy Paul (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 18 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.20, pour une espérance positive de +4.69%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.69%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.45%E +0.596%K +0.787%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 22:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.29%E -0.326%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-30 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -10.66%E -8.96%K -56.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-29 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.03%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-30 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.40%E -1.85%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 01:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-30 01:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-30 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-10-30 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 2.2% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-10-30 01:40 |