النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz

2026-10-30 14:00 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Tommy Paul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.93%4.01السعر العادل
EV +4.69%
الأفضلية +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
النمو +0.069%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.94%24.88%25.00%28.41%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.813.774.2030.77%26.28%26.49%23.81%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Carlos Alcaraz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 75.07%1.33السعر العادل
EV -2.40%
الأفضلية -1.85%
Kelly -8.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.59%75.12%75.00%77.06%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.191.251.251.3084.03%79.77%80.00%76.92%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Tommy Paul (المضيف)⁩: ⁨24.93%⁩؛ ⁨Carlos Alcaraz (الضيف)⁩: ⁨75.07%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Tommy Paul (المضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨4.01⁩. تعرض 18 شركة مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨4.20⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+4.69%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.69%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-30 01:34
DraftKings🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.45%E +0.596%K +0.787%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 01:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 22:40
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-30 01:40
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.29%E -0.326%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -10.66%E -8.96%K -56.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.03%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:35
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:39
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 22:40
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 01:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 01:34
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:34
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:34
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:34
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:39
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 01:40
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 01:39
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:34
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:34
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:35
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:35
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 01:35
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:34
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.40%E -1.85%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 01:35
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:45
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-30 01:35
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-10-30 01:40
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-10-30 01:40