Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz

2026-10-30 14:00 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tommy Paul (Casa)

Previsione 24.93%4.01quota equa
EV +4.69%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescita +0.069%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.94%24.88%25.00%28.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.813.774.2030.77%26.28%26.49%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.07%1.33quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -1.85%
Kelly -8.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.59%75.12%75.00%77.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.251.251.3084.03%79.77%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Tommy Paul (Casa): 24.93%; Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta): 75.07%. Per Tommy Paul (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.01. 18 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.20, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.69%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.69%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-30 01:34
DraftKings🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.45%E +0.596%K +0.787%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 01:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 22:40
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-30 01:40
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.29%E -0.326%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -10.66%E -8.96%K -56.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.03%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:35
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:39
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 22:40
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 01:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 01:34
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:34
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:34
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:34
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:39
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 01:40
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 01:39
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:34
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:34
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:35
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:35
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 01:35
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:34
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.40%E -1.85%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 01:35
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:45
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-30 01:35
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-10-30 01:40
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-10-30 01:40