StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz

2026-10-30 14:00 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Wedstrijduitslag

62 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Tommy Paul (Thuis)

Prognose 24.93%4.01margevrije odds
EV +4.69%
Voordeel +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
Groei +0.069%

bij maximale odds 4.20

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
22.94%24.88%25.00%28.41%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.253.813.774.2030.77%26.28%26.49%23.81%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Uit)

Prognose 75.07%1.33margevrije odds
EV -2.40%
Voordeel -1.85%
Kelly -8.02%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.30

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
71.59%75.12%75.00%77.06%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.191.251.251.3084.03%79.77%80.00%76.92%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Tommy Paul (Thuis): 24.93%; Carlos Alcaraz (Uit): 75.07%. Voor Tommy Paul (Thuis) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.01. 18 wedaanbieders bieden odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.20, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +4.69%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (62 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.69%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-30 01:34
DraftKings🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.45%E +0.596%K +0.787%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:05
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.20%E +0.537%K +0.710%G +0.016%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +0.704%E +0.174%K +0.232%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 01:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.293%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 22:40
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-30 01:40
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.29%E -0.326%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -2.79%E -0.714%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -10.66%E -8.96%K -56.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.03%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:35
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:39
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 22:40
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 01:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 01:34
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:34
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.41%E -4.29%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 01:34
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.66%E -3.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:34
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:39
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 01:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 01:40
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 01:39
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 01:35
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 01:34
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:34
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:35
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:35
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-30 01:35
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:34
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.91%E -3.05%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.40%E -1.85%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 01:35
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:34
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -18.99%E -5.84%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 01:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-10-30 01:45
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-30 01:35
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-10-30 01:40
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-10-30 01:40