Language:English
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
Head to Head
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prediction 22.05%4.53fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +0.778%
Kelly +0.988%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%22.11%21.93%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.214.204.7026.32%23.78%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 77.95%1.28fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -10.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%77.89%78.07%79.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.09%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 22.05%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 77.95%. For Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.70, producing a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +3.66%E +0.778%K +0.988%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.789%E +0.173%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.094%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.755%E -0.168%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.755%E -0.168%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.755%E -0.168%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.80%E -7.52%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.755%E -0.168%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.80%E -7.52%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.06%E -0.934%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.50%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.24%E -6.09%K -38.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.83%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.83%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.27%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-26 05:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.27%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.27%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-26 05:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.47%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.58%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.68%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-26 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.57%E -2.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-26 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-26 05:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-26 06:07 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.89%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -8.02%E -6.80%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.09%E -3.92%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.24%E -6.09%K -38.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-26 05:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -8.02%E -6.80%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-26 05:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |