Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev

2026-10-27 12:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)

Previsão 22.02%4.54odd justa
EV +3.51%
Vantagem +0.747%
Kelly +0.949%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.47%22.06%22.00%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.214.204.7026.32%23.73%23.81%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Previsão 77.98%1.28odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -10.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.19%77.94%78.00%79.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.08%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 22.02%; Daniil Medvedev (Visitante): 77.98%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.54. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.70, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.51%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +3.51%E +0.747%K +0.949%G +0.033%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 05:31
DraftKings🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.649%E +0.142%K +0.182%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 05:46
Pinnacle🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.232%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-26 05:06
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 05:04
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:05
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.893%E -0.198%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.20%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:46
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 07:40
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:31
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:45
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 05:31
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 05:46
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:13
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.40%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:55
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:20
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 07:55
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 07:55
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.60%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:13
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.70%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:45
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.80%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:59
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.31%E -2.67%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:16
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 05:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 05:05
ReBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.21%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 05:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.31%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-10-26 05:05
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-10-26 05:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-10-26 07:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-10-26 07:31
ProphetX◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%4.5%2026-10-26 05:06